Will Elon Musk post 540-559 tweets from September 16 to September 23, 2025?

Resolved

No, settled Sep 23, 2025 UTC

Yes

0.0%

100.0%

Final Yes 0¢Final No 100¢

Lifetime volume

$42.5K

Resolved

Settled

Sep 23, 2025 UTC

Topic roomElon Musk Tweets

Where it stands

Resolved No on 23 Sep 2025.

The last daily price before settlement had No at 100%. Yes opened at 25% on 14 Sep 2025. Before it settled, across the 10 daily closes on record from 14 Sep 2025 to 23 Sep 2025, the highest close was 25% on 14 Sep 2025 and the lowest 0.1% on 20 Sep 2025. Its largest one-day move was 22 points down, to 3.4% on 15 Sep 2025. $42.5K traded over the market's life.

19 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.

Polymarket record as of Sep 24, 8:42 AM UTC

Price historyPrice history from Polymarket's order book

Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 10 points, 14 Sep 2025 – 23 Sep 2025, chart shows 0%–30%

Yes price, first and latest
Observed	Yes price
14 Sep 2025	25.0%
23 Sep 2025	0.1%

Holders left after settlement

Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.

Trader	Outcome	Shares
Indigo Signal 2966	No	98.05K
Pozer	Yes	14.28K
Ziigmund	Yes	3.16K
Novus0rdoSeclorum	Yes	2.39K

10 of 19 listed holders. Polymarket publishes up to 500 per outcome; the Holders tab has them all.

Read the record behind the trader

Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.

Rules

How this market was settled

This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from September 16 12:00 PM ET to September 23, 2025 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total. The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://www.xtracker.io/. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.