Analytics
Resolved No on 13 Sep 2025.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 99%. Yes opened at 3.5% on 12 Sep 2025. Before it settled, across the 2 daily closes on record from 12 Sep 2025 to 13 Sep 2025, the highest close was 3.5% on 12 Sep 2025 and the lowest 1.1% on 13 Sep 2025. $921.26 traded over the market's life.
4 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Sep 14, 8:37 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 2 points, 12 Sep 2025 – 13 Sep 2025, chart shows 0%–10%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 12 Sep 2025 | 3.5% |
| 13 Sep 2025 | 1.1% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| vamnizar | Yes | 287.98 |
| qwertzu | Yes | 152 |
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 110 |
| HokiHoki | Yes | 20.41 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X on September 12, 2025 ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total. The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://www.xtracker.io/. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Resolution source: https://x.com/elonmusk
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/elon-musk-of-tweets-september-12
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