
Resolved No on 16 Sep 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 100%. Yes opened at 3.1% on 9 Sep 2026. Before it settled, across the 8 daily closes on record from 9 Sep 2026 to 16 Sep 2026, the highest close was 9.3% on 14 Sep 2026 and the lowest 0.1% on 16 Sep 2026. Its largest one-day move was 8 points down, to 1.4% on 15 Sep 2026. $115.3K traded over the market's life.
72 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Sep 17, 3:55 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 8 points, 9 Sep 2026 – 16 Sep 2026, chart shows 0%–15%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 9 Sep 2026 | 3.1% |
| 16 Sep 2026 | 0.1% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 139.35K |
| skoldor | Yes | 21.83K |
| smalltimezzz | Yes | 17.5K |
| Mei-ji | Yes | 12.01K |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from September 11 12:00 PM ET to September 18, 2026 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total. The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/elon-musk-of-tweets-september-11-september-18-2026
| Keen Atlas 7F72 | Yes | 5K |
| balthazar | Yes | 4.1K |
| RickRockRick | Yes | 3.6K |
| gordontradedc | Yes | 3K |
| angelcynn | Yes | 2.42K |
| mqpcd | Yes | 2K |
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