
Resolved Yes on 27 Oct 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had Yes at 54.5%. Yes opened at 8% on 18 Oct 2026. Before it settled, across the 7 daily closes on record from 18 Oct 2026 to 27 Oct 2026 (3 days in that span have no close), the highest close was 54.5% on 27 Oct 2026 and the lowest 5.5% on 20 Oct 2026. $228.7K traded over the market's life.
82 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Oct 28, 5:49 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 7 points, 18 Oct 2026 – 27 Oct 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 18 Oct 2026 | 8.0% |
| 27 Oct 2026 | 54.5% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 75.54K |
| stauffen | No | 3.41K |
| K80PRO | No | 943.34 |
| YuzuLemon | No | 878.31 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from October 20 12:00 PM ET to October 27, 2026 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total. The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/elon-musk-of-tweets-october-20-october-27-2026
| AndreaPirlo | No | 805.01 |
| Danielx866 | No | 792.9 |
| niceShare | No | 710 |
| exp7incher | No | 690 |
| jfefgsgsw | No | 617.27 |
| nole-ksum | No | 227.92 |
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