
Resolved No on 1 Jun 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 100%. Yes opened at 13.8% on 25 Mar 2026. Before it settled, across the 49 daily closes on record from 25 Mar 2026 to 1 Jun 2026 (20 days in that span have no close), the highest close was 13.8% on 25 Mar 2026 and the lowest 0.1% on 10 May 2026. $73.6K traded over the market's life.
79 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Jun 2, 4:25 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 49 points, 25 Mar 2026 – 1 Jun 2026, chart shows 0%–20%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 25 Mar 2026 | 13.8% |
| 1 Jun 2026 | 0.1% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 83.24K |
| 9ms | Yes | 10K |
| Violent-Cornmeal | Yes | 3K |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X during the month of May 2026. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total. The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Resolution source: https://x.com/elonmusk
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/elon-musk-of-tweets-may-2026
| Yes |
| 3K |
| RoadmanDon | Yes | 2.46K |
| ElonJail | Yes | 2.23K |
| Bigggggggg | Yes | 1.9K |
| products | Yes | 1.56K |
| Baela | Yes | 1.51K |
| Dizzy-Clan | Yes | 1K |
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