Analytics
Resolved No on 9 Mar 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 98.8%. Yes opened at 3.5% on 6 Mar 2026. Before it settled, across the 4 daily closes on record from 6 Mar 2026 to 9 Mar 2026, the highest close was 3.5% on 6 Mar 2026 and the lowest 1.2% on 9 Mar 2026.
128 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Mar 10, 7:03 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 4 points, 6 Mar 2026 – 9 Mar 2026, chart shows 0%–10%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 6 Mar 2026 | 3.5% |
| 9 Mar 2026 | 1.2% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 142.21K |
| Mognar | Yes | 16.18K |
| Firm-Tailbud | Yes | 8.69K |
| Fair-Tan | Yes | 6.28K |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from March 7 12:00 PM ET to March 9, 2026 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total. The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Resolution source: https://x.com/elonmusk
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/elon-musk-of-tweets-march-7-march-9
| Insaneviper | Yes | 5.61K |
| Mr-Lucker | Yes | 4.4K |
| EZpl-2 | Yes | 4.31K |
| Noteworthy-Rifle | Yes | 3.84K |
| Similar-Goodness | Yes | 3.25K |
| sunqibin | Yes | 3K |
New to prediction markets? How to read a market page
