Analytics
Resolved No on 7 Mar 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 100%. Yes opened at 0.5% on 3 Mar 2026. Before it settled, across the 5 daily closes on record from 3 Mar 2026 to 7 Mar 2026, the price held at 0.5%.
57 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Mar 8, 4:19 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 5 points, 3 Mar 2026 – 7 Mar 2026, chart shows 0%–10%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 3 Mar 2026 | 0.5% |
| 7 Mar 2026 | 0.1% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 223.42K |
| cry.eth2 | Yes | 19.25K |
| flow-trader-at-optiver | Yes | 15.73K |
| GOODLUCK.. | Yes | 10.44K |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from March 5 12:00 PM ET to March 7, 2026 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total. The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Resolution source: https://x.com/elonmusk
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/elon-musk-of-tweets-march-5-march-7
| Novus0rdoSeclorum | Yes | 10.37K |
| Trifling-Barbecue | Yes | 9.9K |
| wokerjoesleeper | Yes | 8.12K |
| ghostfaded | Yes | 8.08K |
| Neon Raven 67D6 | Yes | 5K |
| go1124054 | Yes | 3.94K |
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