
Resolved Yes on 10 Mar 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had Yes at 34.3%. Yes opened at 5.5% on 2 Mar 2026. Before it settled, across the 9 daily closes on record from 2 Mar 2026 to 10 Mar 2026, the highest close was 34.3% on 10 Mar 2026 and the lowest 1.5% on 5 Mar 2026. Its largest one-day move was 20 points up, to 34.3% on 10 Mar 2026.
227 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Mar 11, 7:17 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 9 points, 2 Mar 2026 – 10 Mar 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 2 Mar 2026 | 5.5% |
| 10 Mar 2026 | 34.3% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 549.4K |
| ChocoMizz2 | No | 32.5K |
| 0xD34DB33F1337 | No | 6.36K |
| Ondra | No | 6.14K |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from March 3 12:00 PM ET to March 10, 2026 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total. The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/elon-musk-of-tweets-march-3-march-10
| 7G-MAN | No | 6.1K |
| kmn80 | No | 3.63K |
| EZpl-2 | No | 2.64K |
| wokerjoesleeper | No | 2.18K |
| OOOxOOO | No | 1K |
| Monthly-Convert | No | 1K |
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