
Resolved No on 28 Mar 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 99.2%. Yes opened at 17% on 24 Mar 2026. Before it settled, across the 5 daily closes on record from 24 Mar 2026 to 28 Mar 2026, the highest close was 17.5% on 25 Mar 2026 and the lowest 0.9% on 28 Mar 2026. Its largest one-day move was 6.7 points down, to 0.9% on 28 Mar 2026. $456.2K traded over the market's life.
129 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Mar 29, 4:49 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 5 points, 24 Mar 2026 – 28 Mar 2026, chart shows 0%–25%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 24 Mar 2026 | 17.0% |
| 28 Mar 2026 | 0.9% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 214.85K |
| alohaa | Yes | 20K |
| GOODLUCK.. | Yes | 18.42K |
| dushen88 | Yes | 6.83K |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from March 26 12:00 PM ET to March 28, 2026 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total. The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Resolution source: https://x.com/elonmusk
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/elon-musk-of-tweets-march-26-march-28
| Mr-Lucker | Yes | 5K |
| yanggenihao | Yes | 5K |
| monkmood | Yes | 3.33K |
| yangzhang | Yes | 3K |
| Natural-Mattock | Yes | 3K |
| Badekarret | Yes | 2.12K |
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