
Resolved No on 13 Mar 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 100%. Yes opened at 0.2% on 25 Jan 2026. Before it settled, across the 48 daily closes on record from 25 Jan 2026 to 13 Mar 2026, the highest close was 0.6% on 5 Mar 2026 and the lowest 0.1% on 11 Mar 2026.
41 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Mar 14, 11:07 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 48 points, 25 Jan 2026 – 13 Mar 2026, chart shows 0%–10%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 25 Jan 2026 | 0.2% |
| 13 Mar 2026 | 0.1% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 26.94K |
| Quiet Atlas 0CC9 | Yes | 4K |
| RoadmanDon | Yes | 2.45K |
| products | Yes | 886.12 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X during the month of March 2026. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total. The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Resolution source: https://x.com/elonmusk
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/elon-musk-of-tweets-march-2026
| vamnizar | Yes | 603 |
| Scornful-Conductor | Yes | 492.76 |
| human.bean | Yes | 434.1 |
| yangguang0511 | Yes | 430.14 |
| Broken-Propane | Yes | 400 |
| Melisande | Yes | 333.33 |
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