
Resolved No on 22 Mar 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 100%. Yes opened at 0.3% on 18 Mar 2026. Before it settled, across the 4 daily closes on record from 18 Mar 2026 to 22 Mar 2026 (1 day in that span have no close), the price held at 0.3%.
75 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Mar 23, 11:45 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 4 points, 18 Mar 2026 – 22 Mar 2026, chart shows 0%–10%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 18 Mar 2026 | 0.3% |
| 22 Mar 2026 | 0.1% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 366.37K |
| cry.eth2 | Yes | 25.59K |
| morilun | Yes | 7.99K |
| Elonurmom | Yes | 6.69K |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from March 20 12:00 PM ET to March 27, 2026 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total. The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Resolution source: https://x.com/elonmusk
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/elon-musk-of-tweets-march-20-march-27
| dushen88 | Yes | 5.86K |
| asa9a9 | Yes | 2.8K |
| Cellulose | Yes | 2.66K |
| Scornful-Conductor | Yes | 2.6K |
| Descuy | Yes | 2.4K |
| human.bean | Yes | 2.35K |
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