
Resolved No on 19 Mar 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 100%. Yes opened at 7.5% on 10 Mar 2026. Before it settled, across the 9 daily closes on record from 10 Mar 2026 to 19 Mar 2026 (1 day in that span have no close), the highest close was 7.5% on 10 Mar 2026 and the lowest 0.1% on 18 Mar 2026. Its largest one-day move was 7.3 points down, to 0.1% on 11 Mar 2026.
92 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Mar 20, 3:46 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 9 points, 10 Mar 2026 – 19 Mar 2026, chart shows 0%–10%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 10 Mar 2026 | 7.5% |
| 19 Mar 2026 | 0.1% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 655.27K |
| cry.eth2 | Yes | 31.58K |
| BigFishSushiChief | Yes | 24.68K |
| GOODLUCK.. | Yes | 18.45K |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from March 17 12:00 PM ET to March 24, 2026 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total. The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Resolution source: https://x.com/elonmusk
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/elon-musk-of-tweets-march-17-march-24
| Elonurmom | Yes | 5.32K |
| kilobets | Yes | 5K |
| dushen88 | Yes | 4.97K |
| RickRockRick | Yes | 3.6K |
| Novus0rdoSeclorum | Yes | 3.24K |
| sdpiofgjas | Yes | 2.73K |
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