
Resolved Yes on 20 Mar 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had Yes at 44.2%. Yes opened at 10% on 10 Mar 2026. Before it settled, across the 7 daily closes on record from 10 Mar 2026 to 20 Mar 2026 (4 days in that span have no close), the highest close was 44.2% on 20 Mar 2026 and the lowest 5.5% on 17 Mar 2026.
303 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Mar 21, 7:10 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 7 points, 10 Mar 2026 – 20 Mar 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 10 Mar 2026 | 10.0% |
| 20 Mar 2026 | 44.2% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 520.23K |
| Memorable-Warning | No | 33.34K |
| ricky4435 | No | 30.96K |
| Silver Pioneer 0119 | No | 10.69K |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from March 13 12:00 PM ET to March 20, 2026 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total. The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/elon-musk-of-tweets-march-13-march-20
| RedGojo | No | 3.45K |
| BUMBUM3 | No | 3K |
| 0xMahes | No | 2.9K |
| Unselfish-Dress | No | 2.08K |
| Richgoddess2 | No | 2K |
| steamrolling | No | 2K |
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