
Resolved Yes on 14 Mar 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had Yes at 57%. Yes opened at 23% on 10 Mar 2026. Before it settled, across the 4 daily closes on record from 10 Mar 2026 to 14 Mar 2026 (1 day in that span have no close), the highest close was 57% on 14 Mar 2026 and the lowest 23% on 10 Mar 2026.
96 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Mar 15, 6:57 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 4 points, 10 Mar 2026 – 14 Mar 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 10 Mar 2026 | 23.0% |
| 14 Mar 2026 | 57.0% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 190.34K |
| AlexPro | No | 12.07K |
| Ondra | No | 9.56K |
| Amusing-Guinea | No | 2.89K |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from March 12 12:00 PM ET to March 14, 2026 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total. The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Resolution source: https://x.com/elonmusk
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/elon-musk-of-tweets-march-12-march-14
| nimikm | No | 1.83K |
| Lunar Signal 229E | No | 1.45K |
| LuizBonfa | No | 1.32K |
| ds231df | No | 1.17K |
| TENETENET | No | 1K |
| gordontradedc | No | 912.43 |
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