
Resolved No on 17 Mar 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 98.6%. Yes opened at 10.5% on 8 Mar 2026. Before it settled, across the 9 daily closes on record from 8 Mar 2026 to 17 Mar 2026 (1 day in that span have no close), the highest close was 21% on 15 Mar 2026 and the lowest 1.5% on 17 Mar 2026.
307 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Mar 18, 5:44 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 9 points, 8 Mar 2026 – 17 Mar 2026, chart shows 0%–25%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 8 Mar 2026 | 10.5% |
| 17 Mar 2026 | 1.5% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 479.85K |
| BatmanGambleX | Yes | 29.86K |
| ghostfaded | Yes | 20.44K |
| 387411007415611814092217897387 | Yes | 17.23K |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from March 10 12:00 PM ET to March 17, 2026 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total. The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/elon-musk-of-tweets-march-10-march-17
| sb911 | Yes | 15.04K |
| Fair-Tan | Yes | 14.22K |
| EZpl-2 | Yes | 9.37K |
| rated | Yes | 5.88K |
| 1122221 | Yes | 5.56K |
| annoyinglowie | Yes | 5.07K |
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