Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from March 10 to March 17, 2026?

Resolved

No, settled Mar 17, 2026 UTC

Yes

0.0%

100.0%

Final Yes 0¢Final No 100¢

Resolved

Settled

Mar 17, 2026 UTC

Topic roomElon Musk Tweets

Where it stands

Resolved No on 17 Mar 2026.

The last daily price before settlement had No at 41.6%. Yes opened at 9.5% on 8 Mar 2026. Before it settled, across the 6 daily closes on record from 8 Mar 2026 to 17 Mar 2026 (4 days in that span have no close), the highest close was 58.4% on 17 Mar 2026 and the lowest 4.5% on 11 Mar 2026. Its largest one-day move was 6.5 points up, to 11% on 12 Mar 2026.

438 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.

Polymarket record as of Mar 18, 6:34 PM UTC

Price historyPrice history from Polymarket's order book

Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 6 points, 8 Mar 2026 – 17 Mar 2026

Yes price, first and latest
Observed	Yes price
8 Mar 2026	9.5%
17 Mar 2026	58.4%

Holders left after settlement

Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.

Trader	Outcome	Shares
Indigo Signal 2966	No	479.85K
Fair-Tan	Yes	11.38K
387411007415611814092217897387	Yes	10.83K
Atkangaroo	Yes	10K

10 of 438 listed holders. Polymarket publishes up to 500 per outcome; the Holders tab has them all.

Read the record behind the trader

Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.

Rules

How this market was settled

This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from March 10 12:00 PM ET to March 17, 2026 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total. The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.