
Resolved No on 8 Jun 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 97.3%. Yes opened at 2.6% on 5 Jun 2026. Before it settled, across the 4 daily closes on record from 5 Jun 2026 to 8 Jun 2026, the highest close was 8.4% on 6 Jun 2026 and the lowest 2.6% on 5 Jun 2026. Its largest one-day move was 5.8 points up, to 8.4% on 6 Jun 2026. $221.2K traded over the market's life.
113 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Jun 9, 5:33 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 4 points, 5 Jun 2026 – 8 Jun 2026, chart shows 0%–12%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 5 Jun 2026 | 2.6% |
| 8 Jun 2026 | 2.8% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 64.64K |
| b00ze | Yes | 17.36K |
| SmolDog | Yes | 12.96K |
| Keen Atlas 7F72 | Yes | 5K |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from June 6 12:00 PM ET to June 8, 2026 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total. The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/elon-musk-of-tweets-june-6-june-8
| 387411007415611814092217897387 | Yes | 3.51K |
| yyy12345678 | Yes | 3.12K |
| dddtrips | Yes | 2.31K |
| Seraphine.C | Yes | 2.08K |
| Randomcnobodykins | Yes | 1.87K |
| Baela | Yes | 1.68K |
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