
Resolved No on 7 Jul 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 100%. Yes opened at 0.1% on 28 Jun 2026. Before it settled, across the 10 daily closes on record from 28 Jun 2026 to 7 Jul 2026, the price held at 0.1%. $65.3K traded over the market's life.
60 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Jul 8, 1:37 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 10 points, 28 Jun 2026 – 7 Jul 2026, chart shows 0%–10%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 28 Jun 2026 | 0.1% |
| 7 Jul 2026 | 0.1% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 195.88K |
| Hiohigs | Yes | 20.41K |
| smalltimezzz | Yes | 7.96K |
| Bitgod | Yes | 7.4K |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from June 30 12:00 PM ET to July 7, 2026 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total. The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Resolution source: https://x.com/elonmusk
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/elon-musk-of-tweets-june-30-july-7
| Elonurmom | Yes | 6.71K |
| wakuwaku3 | Yes | 6.5K |
| Green.Gold | Yes | 6K |
| RickRockRick | Yes | 3.6K |
| balthazar | Yes | 3.49K |
| Turbulent-Decline-Router | Yes | 2.89K |
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