
Resolved No on 25 Jul 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 99.9%. Yes opened at 21.5% on 19 Jul 2026. Before it settled, across the 7 daily closes on record from 19 Jul 2026 to 25 Jul 2026, the highest close was 21.5% on 19 Jul 2026 and the lowest 0.1% on 25 Jul 2026. Its largest one-day move was 10 points down, to 7.5% on 23 Jul 2026. $101.8K traded over the market's life.
118 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Jul 26, 3:59 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 7 points, 19 Jul 2026 – 25 Jul 2026, chart shows 0%–30%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 19 Jul 2026 | 21.5% |
| 25 Jul 2026 | 0.1% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 130.48K |
| alohaa | Yes | 30K |
| smalltimezzz | Yes | 11.22K |
| gordontradedc | Yes | 5.82K |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from July 21 12:00 PM ET to July 28, 2026 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total. The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/elon-musk-of-tweets-july-21-july-28
| Atkangaroo | Yes | 5.03K |
| Keen Atlas 7F72 | Yes | 5K |
| Papuasus | Yes | 2.9K |
| GT2RShunter | Yes | 2.52K |
| Elastin | Yes | 2.46K |
| MilkTeaa | Yes | 2.23K |
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