
Resolved No on 26 Jan 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 100%. Yes opened at 1.3% on 18 Jan 2026. Before it settled, across the 9 daily closes on record from 18 Jan 2026 to 26 Jan 2026, the highest close was 5.1% on 22 Jan 2026 and the lowest 0.1% on 26 Jan 2026. $842.9K traded over the market's life.
239 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Jan 27, 4:21 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 9 points, 18 Jan 2026 – 26 Jan 2026, chart shows 0%–10%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 18 Jan 2026 | 1.3% |
| 26 Jan 2026 | 0.1% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 446.14K |
| mmmmdou | Yes | 50K |
| TheRedChip | Yes | 34.62K |
| Emil9033 | Yes | 20K |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from January 20 12:00 PM ET to January 27, 2026 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total. The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Resolution source: https://x.com/elonmusk
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/elon-musk-of-tweets-january-20-january-27
| Nick8307 | Yes | 20K |
| rated | Yes | 17.45K |
| FadmohA1 | Yes | 15K |
| Siziriv | Yes | 12.52K |
| Novus0rdoSeclorum | Yes | 11.44K |
| Worthless-Regionalism | Yes | 10K |
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