
Resolved No on 21 Feb 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 100%. Yes opened at 2.7% on 15 Feb 2026. Before it settled, across the 7 daily closes on record from 15 Feb 2026 to 21 Feb 2026, the highest close was 3.1% on 17 Feb 2026 and the lowest 0.1% on 21 Feb 2026. $311.2K traded over the market's life.
178 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Feb 22, 4:25 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 7 points, 15 Feb 2026 – 21 Feb 2026, chart shows 0%–10%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 15 Feb 2026 | 2.7% |
| 21 Feb 2026 | 0.1% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 440.92K |
| GOODLUCK.. | Yes | 34.63K |
| rated | Yes | 30.53K |
| Fat.Choi | Yes | 20K |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from February 17 12:00 PM ET to February 24, 2026 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total. The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Resolution source: https://x.com/elonmusk
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/elon-musk-of-tweets-february-17-february-24
| wokerjoesleeper | Yes | 11.09K |
| Gracious-Playroom | Yes | 9K |
| Bitgod | Yes | 6.4K |
| Cellulose | Yes | 6.28K |
| O.G.Degen | Yes | 5.84K |
| Novus0rdoSeclorum | Yes | 5.06K |
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