Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from December 23 to December 30, 2025?

Resolved

No, settled Dec 30, 2025 UTC

Yes

0.0%

100.0%

Final Yes 0¢Final No 100¢

Lifetime volume

$1.7M

Resolved

Settled

Dec 30, 2025 UTC

Topic roomElon Musk Tweets

Where it stands

Resolved No on 30 Dec 2025.

The last daily price before settlement had No at 51.8%. Yes opened at 2.2% on 21 Dec 2025. Before it settled, across the 10 daily closes on record from 21 Dec 2025 to 30 Dec 2025, the highest close was 48.3% on 30 Dec 2025 and the lowest 2.2% on 21 Dec 2025. Its largest one-day move was 46 points up, to 48.3% on 30 Dec 2025. $1.65M traded over the market's life.

315 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.

Polymarket record as of Jan 1, 12:35 AM UTC

Price historyPrice history from Polymarket's order book

Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 10 points, 21 Dec 2025 – 30 Dec 2025

Holders left after settlement

Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.

Trader	Outcome	Shares
Indigo Signal 2966	No	540.89K
AvishaiBass	Yes	11.89K
Fair-Tan	Yes	10.71K
dddtrips	Yes	8.1K

10 of 315 listed holders. Polymarket publishes up to 500 per outcome; the Holders tab has them all.

Read the record behind the trader

Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.

Rules

How this market was settled

This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from December 23 12:00 PM ET to December 30, 2025 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total. The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.