Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from December 12 to December 19, 2025?

Resolved

No, settled Dec 23, 2025 UTC

Yes

0.0%

100.0%

Final Yes 0¢Final No 100¢

Lifetime volume

$1.1M

Resolved

Settled

Dec 23, 2025 UTC

Topic roomElon Musk Tweets

Where it stands

Resolved No on 23 Dec 2025.

The last daily price before settlement had No at 100%. Yes opened at 1.2% on 10 Dec 2025. Before it settled, across the 15 daily closes on record from 10 Dec 2025 to 23 Dec 2025, the highest close was 8.3% on 15 Dec 2025 and the lowest 0.1% on 18 Dec 2025. Its largest one-day move was 8 points down, to 0.4% on 16 Dec 2025. $1.1M traded over the market's life.

125 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.

Polymarket record as of Jan 19, 3:24 PM UTC

Price historyPrice history from Polymarket's order book

Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 15 points, 10 Dec 2025 – 23 Dec 2025, chart shows 0%–15%

Holders left after settlement

Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.

Trader	Outcome	Shares
Indigo Signal 2966	No	533.38K
sb911	Yes	98.02K
VibeTrader	Yes	43.46K
wokerjoesleeper	Yes	25.91K

10 of 125 listed holders. Polymarket publishes up to 500 per outcome; the Holders tab has them all.

Read the record behind the trader

Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.

Rules

How this market was settled

This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from December 12 12:00 PM ET to December 19, 2025 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total. The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.

Resolution source: https://x.com/elonmusk