
Resolved No on 7 Aug 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 100%. Yes opened at 0.7% on 25 Jul 2026. Before it settled, across the 13 daily closes on record from 25 Jul 2026 to 7 Aug 2026 (1 day in that span have no close), the highest close was 0.7% on 25 Jul 2026 and the lowest 0.1% on 28 Jul 2026. $813.97 traded over the market's life.
23 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Aug 7, 9:04 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 13 points, 25 Jul 2026 – 7 Aug 2026, chart shows 0%–10%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 25 Jul 2026 | 0.7% |
| 7 Aug 2026 | 0.1% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 23.58K |
| Mei-ji | Yes | 4.07K |
| Bitgod | Yes | 3.48K |
| smalltimezzz | Yes | 2.65K |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X during the month of August 2026. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total. The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/elon-musk-of-tweets-august-2026
| Triangular-Bird-Hardcover | Yes | 2K |
| vamnizar | Yes | 1.45K |
| sange111 | Yes | 722.22 |
| 387411007415611814092217897387 | Yes | 396 |
| justwant5 | Yes | 340.49 |
| NewManland | Yes | 299 |
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