
Resolved No on 26 Apr 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 100%. Yes opened at 2.1% on 22 Apr 2026. Before it settled, across the 5 daily closes on record from 22 Apr 2026 to 26 Apr 2026, the highest close was 2.1% on 22 Apr 2026 and the lowest 0.1% on 26 Apr 2026. $488.9K traded over the market's life.
136 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Apr 27, 3:38 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 5 points, 22 Apr 2026 – 26 Apr 2026, chart shows 0%–10%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 22 Apr 2026 | 2.1% |
| 26 Apr 2026 | 0.1% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 311.33K |
| neutralwave23 | Yes | 47.77K |
| Crafty-Ordination | Yes | 46.34K |
| Smoggy-Mutton | Yes | 31.11K |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from April 21 12:00 PM ET to April 28, 2026 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total. The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Resolution source: https://x.com/elonmusk
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/elon-musk-of-tweets-april-21-april-28
| 11221l | Yes | 24.27K |
| Keen Lynx 0B73 | Yes | 13.09K |
| 387411007415611814092217897387 | Yes | 7.76K |
| Glycogen | Yes | 5.18K |
| hidden-james | Yes | 4.01K |
| Wild-Manner | Yes | 3.43K |
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