
Resolved No on 19 Apr 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 99.9%. Yes opened at 4% on 25 Feb 2026. Before it settled, across the 35 daily closes on record from 25 Feb 2026 to 18 Apr 2026 (18 days in that span have no close), the highest close was 4.4% on 2 Mar 2026 and the lowest 0.1% on 28 Mar 2026. $89.9K traded over the market's life.
70 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Apr 28, 11:04 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 35 points, 25 Feb 2026 – 18 Apr 2026, chart shows 0%–10%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 25 Feb 2026 | 4.0% |
| 18 Apr 2026 | 0.1% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 75.49K |
| vamnizar | Yes | 3.68K |
| products | Yes | 3.01K |
| ElonJail | Yes | 2.6K |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X during the month of April 2026. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total. The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Resolution source: https://x.com/elonmusk
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/elon-musk-of-tweets-april-2026
| Bold Voyager E173 | Yes | 2.07K |
| pd.unique | Yes | 2.05K |
| Bitgod | Yes | 1.23K |
| HappyFett | Yes | 1K |
| Alsalman1 | Yes | 955.02 |
| RoadmanDon | Yes | 820 |
New to prediction markets? How to read a market page