Analytics
Resolved No on 21 Apr 2026.
$423.2K traded over the market's life.
188 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Apr 22, 7:35 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 1 point, 18 Apr 2026, chart shows 36%–48%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 18 Apr 2026 | 41.5% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 86.73K |
| Medical-Universe | Yes | 14.57K |
| Seraphine.C | Yes | 7.1K |
| Keen Lynx 0B73 | Yes | 5.41K |
| Kamenshyk22 | Yes | 4.98K |
| junseokletsg0 | Yes | 4K |
| Sumatrah | Yes | 3.29K |
| dodca | Yes | 3K |
| RickRockRick | Yes | 2.99K |
| Ondra | Yes | 2.94K |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from April 18 12:00 PM ET to April 20, 2026 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total. The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/elon-musk-of-tweets-april-18-april-20
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