
Resolved Yes on 18 Apr 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had Yes at 38.5%. Yes opened at 39.5% on 14 Apr 2026. Before it settled, across the 4 daily closes on record from 14 Apr 2026 to 17 Apr 2026, the highest close was 41.5% on 15 Apr 2026 and the lowest 38.5% on 17 Apr 2026. $299.1K traded over the market's life.
100 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Apr 19, 7:07 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 4 points, 14 Apr 2026 – 17 Apr 2026, chart shows 35%–45%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 14 Apr 2026 | 39.5% |
| 17 Apr 2026 | 38.5% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 87.36K |
| GOODLUCK.. | No | 9.89K |
| Imkglu | No | 7.61K |
| Imkg | No | 4K |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from April 16 12:00 PM ET to April 18, 2026 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total. The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/elon-musk-of-tweets-april-16-april-18
| skyys | No | 2.85K |
| Keen Lynx 0B73 | No | 1.32K |
| Winding-Plagiarism | No | 950.05 |
| cubiccat | No | 871.04 |
| Lunar Signal 229E | No | 719.31 |
| manrant2 | No | 628.73 |
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