Analytics
Resolved No on 14 Mar 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 73.5%. Yes opened at 50% on 16 Feb 2026. Before it settled, the high was 50% on 16 Feb 2026 and the low 26.5% on 14 Mar 2026. Its largest one-day move was 18 points down, to 31.5% on 5 Mar 2026.
33 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Mar 15, 5:53 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB · 27 points · 16 Feb 2026 – 14 Mar 2026 · axis zoomed to 20%–60%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 16 Feb 2026 | 50.0% |
| 14 Mar 2026 | 26.5% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Flawless-Masonry | Yes | 369.94 |
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 320.01 |
| Lilybaeum | Yes | 142.9 |
| TippoMan | Yes | 112.7 |
| ganjubas22 | Yes | 94.55 |
| alreadydeadhorse | Yes | 90 |
| sorar | Yes | 53.57 |
| Cannae | Yes | 47.18 |
| LeviBoo | Yes | 44.33 |
| DeltaNeutral-Cap | Yes | 33.33 |
Every wallet's public record, and 80,000 ranked by lifetime P&L: Polymarket leaderboard
This event is for the upcoming EFL Championship game, scheduled for Saturday, March 14, 2026 between Birmingham City FC and Sheffield United FC.
Resolution source: https://www.efl.com/
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/elc-bir-she-2026-03-14
New to prediction markets? How to read a market page
