Analytics
Yes is at 8%, down 21 points from 29% when the market opened on 13 Oct 2026.
Across the 10 daily closes on record from 13 Oct 2026 to 29 Oct 2026 (7 days in that span have no close), the highest close was 29% on 13 Oct 2026 and the lowest 8% on 28 Oct 2026. A week before that last close Yes was at 11%. Its largest one-day move was 13 points down, to 16% on 14 Oct 2026.
$2.74K traded in the last 24 hours. The order book holds $10.64K, with a 2.0% gap between the best bid and the best ask. Across the latest 56 trades, $265.55 bought Yes and $881.71 bought No.
The largest Yes position is xtxpleasecallme with 700 shares; the largest No position is PerfectTaste with 699. Ten wallets hold 93.2% of the shares on Polymarket's public holder list.
Trading closes on 31 Dec 2026, 64 days from now.
Polymarket prices as of Oct 29, 2:00 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 10 points, 13 Oct 2026 – 29 Oct 2026, chart shows 0%–40%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 13 Oct 2026 | 29.0% |
| 29 Oct 2026 | 8.0% |
The ten largest positions on Polymarket's public holder list.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| xtxpleasecallme | Yes | 699.7 |
| PerfectTaste | No | 698.99 |
| wallet-account-test | Yes | 518 |
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Ed Davey ceases to be Leader of the Liberal Democrats for any period of time between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Ed Davey's resignation/removal by this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Ed Davey and the Liberal Democrats; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/ed-davey-out-as-liberal-democrats-leader-by-december-31
| melonmanm | No | 209.07 |
| nickadamus | No | 149.46 |
| DuneMentat | No | 121 |
| bananabreakfast | Yes | 77.52 |
| Pointed-Wilderness | Yes | 59.91 |
| Wartlock | No | 53.26 |
| richyee | No | 40.45 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
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