Analytics
Resolved Yes on 2 May 2025.
$124.54K traded over the market's life.
6 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of May 4, 12:24 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB · 1 point · 2 May 2025 · axis zoomed to 58%–70%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 2 May 2025 | 64.0% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| gandalf | No | 100 |
| cryptotree | No | 57.67 |
| alpine-moo | No | 21.96 |
| Karekken | Yes | 0.01 |
| TYriplecheese | No | 0.01 |
| NiGriMa671 | Yes | 0 |
Every wallet's public record, and 80,000 ranked by lifetime P&L: Polymarket leaderboard
This market will resolve to “Yes” if 1 or more earthquakes with a magnitude of 7.0 or higher occur anywhere on earth between May 1, and May 31, 2025 ET. Otherwise this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market is the United States Geological Survey (USGS) Earthquake hazards program (https://earthquake.usgs.gov/earthquakes/browse/significant.php#sigdef). If an earthquake of substantial size has occurred within this market's timeframe but not yet appeared on the resolution source, this market may remain open until June 7, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, or until the earthquake in question otherwise appears on the resolution source. If such an earthquake has not appeared on the resolution source by that date, another credible resolution source will be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/earthquake-7pt0-or-above-in-may
New to prediction markets? How to read a market page
