Analytics
Resolved No on 1 May 2025.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 99.5%. Yes opened at 28% on 27 Feb 2025. Before it settled, across the 64 daily closes on record from 27 Feb 2025 to 1 May 2025, the highest close was 28% on 27 Feb 2025 and the lowest 0.5% on 24 Apr 2025. Its largest one-day move was 7 points down, to 21% on 28 Feb 2025. $1.29K traded over the market's life.
4 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of May 2, 12:22 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 64 points, 27 Feb 2025 – 1 May 2025, chart shows 0%–40%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 27 Feb 2025 | 28.0% |
| 1 May 2025 | 0.5% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| FishBotATH | Yes | 52.82 |
| YoungFatWalletUwU | Yes | 3.45 |
| split | No | 0.01 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
On February 25, Representative Ro Khanna announced the "Drain the Swamp Act" a new bill to ban White House officials from accepting gifts from lobbyists or becoming lobbyists during the Trump term. (see: https://khanna.house.gov/media/press-releases/release-rep-khanna-announces-new-bills-make-medicare-telehealth-coverage). This market will resolve to "Yes" if the "Drain the Swamp Act" passes the U.S. House of Representatives by April 30, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution's source will be information from the U.S. House of Representatives
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/drain-the-swamp-act-passes-the-house-before-may
| No |
| 0.01 |
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