Will Donald Trump post 40-59 Truth Social posts from July 7 to July 14, 2026?

Resolved

No, settled Jul 11, 2026 UTC

Yes

0.0%

100.0%

Final Yes 0¢Final No 100¢

Lifetime volume

$491

Resolved

Settled

Jul 11, 2026 UTC

Where it stands

Resolved No on 11 Jul 2026.

The last daily price before settlement had No at 99.7%. Yes opened at 24% on 5 Jul 2026. Before it settled, across the 7 daily closes on record from 5 Jul 2026 to 11 Jul 2026, the highest close was 24% on 5 Jul 2026 and the lowest 0.3% on 8 Jul 2026. Its largest one-day move was 21 points down, to 2.8% on 6 Jul 2026. $491.22 traded over the market's life.

13 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.

Polymarket record as of Jul 12, 2:22 AM UTC

Price historyPrice history from Polymarket's order book

Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 7 points, 5 Jul 2026 – 11 Jul 2026, chart shows 0%–30%

Yes price, first and latest
Observed	Yes price
5 Jul 2026	24.0%
11 Jul 2026	0.3%

Holders left after settlement

Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.

Trader	Outcome	Shares
Indigo Signal 2966	No	1.95K
balthazar	Yes	1.1K
Deafening-Possible	Yes	150
HerrieDavis	Yes	88.59

10 of 13 listed holders. Polymarket publishes up to 500 per outcome; the Holders tab has them all.

Read the record behind the trader

Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.

Rules

How this market was settled

This market will resolve according to the number of times Donald Trump (@realDonaldTrump), posts on Truth Social between July 7, 12:00 PM ET and July 14, 2026, 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, Truth Social itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.

Resolution source: https://truthsocial.com/@realDonaldTrump