Analytics
Resolved No on 17 Feb 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 93.8%. Yes opened at 10% on 8 Feb 2026. Before it settled, across the 10 daily closes on record from 8 Feb 2026 to 17 Feb 2026, the highest close was 43.5% on 16 Feb 2026 and the lowest 6.2% on 17 Feb 2026. Its largest one-day move was 37 points down, to 6.2% on 17 Feb 2026. $74.29K traded over the market's life.
78 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Feb 18, 8:26 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 10 points, 8 Feb 2026 – 17 Feb 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 8 Feb 2026 | 10.0% |
| 17 Feb 2026 | 6.2% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 35.98K |
| Fair-Tan | Yes | 1.18K |
| Jaggadaku931 | Yes | 1K |
| 100kGem | Yes | 1K |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Donald Trump (@realDonaldTrump), posts on Truth Social between February 10, 12:00 PM ET and February 17, 2026, 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, Truth Social itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Resolution source: https://truthsocial.com/@realDonaldTrump
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/donald-trump-of-truth-social-posts-february-10-february-17
| monkmood | Yes | 975.61 |
| wtfsss | Yes | 835 |
| Crimson Falcon C79A | Yes | 704.56 |
| rated | Yes | 630.12 |
| 387411007415611814092217897387 | Yes | 530.26 |
| wokerjoesleeper | Yes | 459.69 |
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