Analytics
Resolved Yes on 27 Jul 2023.
The last daily price before settlement had Yes at 46%. Yes opened at 50% on 4 May 2023. Before it settled, across the 84 daily closes on record from 4 May 2023 to 27 Jul 2023 (1 day in that span have no close), the highest close was 66.5% on 13 Jun 2023 and the lowest 26% on 11 May 2023. Its largest one-day move was 31 points down, to 35% on 26 Jun 2023. $592 traded over the market's life.
2 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Jul 28, 3:28 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 84 points, 4 May 2023 – 27 Jul 2023
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 4 May 2023 | 50.0% |
| 27 Jul 2023 | 46.0% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Golden Harbor 65BF | No | 606.8 |
| AnonBet-857 | No | 44.56 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This is a market over US GDP growth in Q2 2023.
Resolution source: https://www.bea.gov/data/gdp/gross-domestic-product
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/us-gdp-growth-in-q2-2023
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