Analytics
Resolved No on 1 Apr 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 99.9%. Yes opened at 34.5% on 9 Jan 2026. Before it settled, across the 78 daily closes on record from 9 Jan 2026 to 28 Mar 2026 (1 day in that span have no close), the highest close was 35.5% on 13 Jan 2026 and the lowest 0.1% on 24 Mar 2026. Its largest one-day move was 22 points up, to 35.5% on 13 Jan 2026. $25.26K traded over the market's life.
17 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Apr 1, 8:13 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 78 points, 9 Jan 2026 – 28 Mar 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 9 Jan 2026 | 34.5% |
| 28 Mar 2026 | 0.1% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Impressionable-Literature | Yes | 1.54K |
| Harsh-Departure | Yes | 1K |
| Firm-Tailbud | Yes | 999 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Deel completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements or credible news sources. The IPO refers to the first sale of stock by the listed company to the public on any recognized stock exchange. If Deel merges with another entity, is acquired, or ceases to exist before the market resolves, the market will also resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is a consensus of credible reporting.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/deel-ipo-by-march-31
| Yes |
| 125 |
| Hinshaw | Yes | 100 |
| Uncomfortable-Path | Yes | 92.61 |
| bbbred | Yes | 71.92 |
| Bitter-Former | Yes | 68.34 |
| Indigo Raven BA64 | Yes | 50 |
| asfdt22 | Yes | 47.42 |
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