Analytics
Resolved No on 7 Dec 2024.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 99.6%. Yes opened at 24.5% on 4 Dec 2024. Before it settled, the high was 24.5% on 4 Dec 2024 and the low 0.4% on 7 Dec 2024. Its largest one-day move was 15 points down, to 0.4% on 7 Dec 2024. $54.07K traded over the market's life.
26 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Dec 8, 9:37 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB · 4 points · 4 Dec 2024 – 7 Dec 2024 · axis zoomed to 0%–30%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 4 Dec 2024 | 24.5% |
| 7 Dec 2024 | 0.4% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| phroge | Yes | 447.99 |
| Indigo Tide 415E | Yes | 224.78 |
| Twizzler | Yes | 10 |
| PolyDump | Yes | 9.99 |
| Weak-Counterforce | Yes | 2.17 |
| tricrotocent1987 | Yes | 0.36 |
| tepfdinati1980 | No | 0.34 |
| trictafinra1985 | No | 0.22 |
| ijtgsnj | No | 0.1 |
| bearclub | Yes | 0.08 |
Every wallet's public record, and 80,000 ranked by lifetime P&L: Polymarket leaderboard
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Daniel Penny is found guilty of the charge of manslaughter in his ongoing New York Court trial by March 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If Daniel Penny's ongoing trial is dismissed, ends due to a plea agreement without an admission of guilt, or results in a mistrial for the charge of manslaughter, this market will resolve to "No". This market will resolve according to the initial judgment rendered in this case. Any appeals will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. The primary resolution source will be an official judgement delivered by the ruling court; however, other credible reporting may be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/daniel-penny-found-guilty-of-manslaughter
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