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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Will Trump refrain from announcing a next Fed Chair in 2025?No | buy | 1.75 | $0.570 | $1 | Sep 22, 2025 |
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| buy |
| 1.72 |
| $0.580 |
| $1 |
| Sep 22, 2025 |
Will Claude 5 be released by March 31, 2026?No | buy | 1.89 | $0.530 | $1 | Sep 22, 2025 |
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz in 2025?No | sell | 1.92 | $0.920 | $1.77 | Sep 22, 2025 |
Will a new country join the Abraham Accords in 2025?Yes | sell | 1.92 | $0.180 | $0.35 | Sep 22, 2025 |
Will a new country join the Abraham Accords in 2025?Yes | buy | 1.92 | $0.520 | $1 | Jul 16, 2025 |
Israel x Hamas ceasefire by August 15?Yes | buy | 1.89 | $0.530 | $1 | Jul 16, 2025 |
Will the NYC Mayoral Democratic Primary be decided in round 3?Yes | sell | 1.91 | $0.988 | $1.89 | Jul 16, 2025 |
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2025?Yes | sell | 1.92 | $0.270 | $0.52 | Jul 16, 2025 |
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2025?Yes | buy | 1.92 | $0.520 | $1 | Jun 23, 2025 |
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz in 2025?No | buy | 1.92 | $0.520 | $1 | Jun 23, 2025 |
Will Andrew Cuomo’s RCV margin of victory be less than 5%?No | buy | 1.79 | $0.560 | $1 | Jun 23, 2025 |
Will the NYC Mayoral Democratic Primary be decided in round 3?Yes | buy | 1.91 | $0.523 | $1 | Jun 23, 2025 |
US-Iran nuclear deal in 2025?Yes | sell | 2 | $0.350 | $0.7 | Jun 23, 2025 |
Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia in 2025?No | sell | 3.63 | $0.860 | $3.12 | Jun 23, 2025 |
Will Karol Nawrocki be the next President of Poland?No | buy | 1.92 | $0.520 | $1 | May 21, 2025 |
Ukraine agrees not to join NATO in 2025?Yes | sell | 3.5 | $0.280 | $0.98 | May 21, 2025 |
U.S. recognizes Russian sovereignty over Crimea in 2025?Yes | sell | 2.04 | $0.300 | $0.61 | May 21, 2025 |
US-Iran nuclear deal in 2025?Yes | buy | 2 | $0.500 | $1 | Apr 28, 2025 |
U.S. recognizes Russian sovereignty over Crimea in 2025?Yes | buy | 2.04 | $0.490 | $1 | Apr 28, 2025 |
Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia in 2025?No | buy | 3.64 | $0.550 | $2 | Mar 18, 2025 |
Ukraine agrees not to join NATO in 2025?Yes | buy | 3.51 | $0.570 | $2 | Mar 18, 2025 |
Trump declassifies JFK files in first 100 days?Yes | sell | 2.32 | $0.951 | $2.21 | Mar 18, 2025 |
Price of eggs goes up in Trump's first month?No | buy | 2.22 | $0.450 | $1 | Dec 6, 2024 |
Trump declassifies JFK files in first 100 days?Yes | buy | 2.33 | $0.430 | $1 | Dec 6, 2024 |
Will Trump say "god" 4+ times during his inauguration speech?No | buy | 1.96 | $0.510 | $1 | Dec 6, 2024 |
Fact Check: Luigi Mangione motivated by denied claims?Yes | buy | 1.92 | $0.520 | $1 | Dec 6, 2024 |
Daniel Penny found guilty of manslaughter?Yes | buy | 2.17 | $0.460 | $1 | Dec 3, 2024 |
Trump ends Ukraine war in first 90 days?No | buy | 1.79 | $0.560 | $1 | Dec 3, 2024 |
Price of eggs goes up in Trump's first month?Yes | buy | 1.85 | $0.540 | $1 | Dec 3, 2024 |
Kamala Harris wins the popular vote?No | buy | 2.38 | $0.421 | $1 | Oct 29, 2024 |
Another Israeli military action against Iran in 2024?Yes | buy | 2 | $0.500 | $1 | Oct 29, 2024 |
Will Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election?Yes | buy | 5.92 | $0.338 | $2 | Oct 29, 2024 |
Ethereum all time high in 2024?Yes | sell | 2.22 | $0.080 | $0.18 | Oct 29, 2024 |
Will ETH or SOL reach all-time high first?ETH | sell | 1.69 | $0.370 | $0.63 | Oct 29, 2024 |
Will Ethereum hit $10k in 2024?Yes | sell | 8.33 | $0.031 | $0.26 | Oct 29, 2024 |
Trump vs. Boden: First to 1BTrump | sell | 1.72 | $0.520 | $0.89 | Oct 29, 2024 |
Will Milady flip BAYC in 2024?No | sell | 1.78 | $0.952 | $1.69 | Oct 29, 2024 |
Fed emergency rate cut in 2024?Yes | buy | 6.67 | $0.150 | $1 | Aug 10, 2024 |
No change in Fed interest rates after 2024 September meeting?Yes | buy | 19.23 | $0.052 | $1 | Aug 10, 2024 |
Solana all time high in Q4?Yes | sell | 10 | $0.200 | $2 | Aug 10, 2024 |
Trump vs. Boden: First to 1BTrump | buy | 1.72 | $0.580 | $1 | Jul 11, 2024 |
Will Milady flip BAYC in 2024?No | buy | 1.79 | $0.560 | $1 | Jul 11, 2024 |
$PEPE vs. $WIF - First to $10B?$PEPE | buy | 1.43 | $0.700 | $1 | Jul 11, 2024 |
Will Ethereum hit $10k in 2024?Yes | buy | 8.33 | $0.120 | $1 | Jul 11, 2024 |
Will ETH or SOL reach all-time high first?ETH | buy | 1.69 | $0.590 | $1 | Jul 11, 2024 |
Solana all time high in Q4?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.200 | $1 | Jul 11, 2024 |
Ethereum all time high in Q4 2024?Yes | buy | 4.55 | $0.220 | $1 | Jul 11, 2024 |
Ethereum all time high in Q3 2024?Yes | buy | 5.26 | $0.190 | $1 | Jul 11, 2024 |
Solana all time high in Q4?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.200 | $1 | Jul 11, 2024 |