Analytics
Resolved No on 13 Jan 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 98.4%. Yes opened at 12.5% on 9 Jan 2026. Before it settled, across the 5 daily closes on record from 9 Jan 2026 to 13 Jan 2026, the highest close was 12.5% on 9 Jan 2026 and the lowest 1.6% on 13 Jan 2026. Its largest one-day move was 8.7 points down, to 2.8% on 11 Jan 2026. $15.52K traded over the market's life.
28 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Jan 14, 8:21 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 5 points, 9 Jan 2026 – 13 Jan 2026, chart shows 0%–15%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 9 Jan 2026 | 12.5% |
| 13 Jan 2026 | 1.6% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| CEO4FT | Yes | 2.77K |
| niggabutt | Yes | 264.89 |
| fabic-ai | Yes | 201.02 |
| 0xRocket666 | Yes | 150 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if an official curfew is officially announced in any part of the cities of Minneapolis, Minnesota or Saint Paul, Minnesota between market creation and January 12, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Any curfew which is officially announced will qualify regardless of if/when it goes into effect. To qualify, the curfew must be officially declared by the City of Minneapolis, the City of St. Paul, Hennepin County, Ramsey County, or a relevant state or federal authority, and must apply to any segment of the population or geographic area within Minneapolis or St. Paul. The curfew may be citywide, countywide, or limited to specific neighborhoods or regions. Temporary curfews (e.g. from 10 PM to 6 AM) will qualify. Unofficial guidance, voluntary advisories, or curfews outside the specified date range will not qualify. The primary resolution source for this market will be official government announcements; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/curfew-in-minneapolis-saint-paul-by-monday
| Narrow-Inevitable | Yes | 55.88 |
| Uncommon-Anorak | Yes | 38.46 |
| Laratheduck | Yes | 35.34 |
| TacticalInsiderNews | Yes | 33.33 |
| Booradleys | Yes | 31.59 |
| 16r0ob | Yes | 29.2 |
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