Analytics
The Aurora Gaming side is at 77.5%, down 5 points from 82.5% when the market opened on 21 Oct 2026.
Across the 3 daily closes on record from 21 Oct 2026 to 23 Oct 2026 (1 day in that span have no close), the highest close was 82.5% on 21 Oct 2026 and the lowest 77.5% on 23 Oct 2026.
It is one of 5 markets under “Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Liquid (BO3) - IEM Beijing Group B”.
$4.83 traded in the last 24 hours. The order book holds $3.24K, with a 5.0% gap between the best bid and the best ask.
The largest Aurora Gaming position is degenerativnoe with 5 shares; the largest Liquid position is odrazil with 5.
Trading closes on 2 Nov 2026, 10 days from now.
Polymarket prices as of Oct 23, 3:10 PM UTC
The paper ticket needs a verified Yes / No pair, which this market does not have here.
Open in PredictionsDaily closes of the Aurora Gaming price, Polymarket CLOB, 3 points, 21 Oct 2026 – 23 Oct 2026, chart shows 74%–86%
| Observed | Aurora Gaming price |
|---|---|
| 21 Oct 2026 | 82.5% |
| 23 Oct 2026 | 77.5% |
The ten largest positions on Polymarket's public holder list.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| degenerativnoe | Aurora Gaming | 4.83 |
| odrazil | Liquid | 4.83 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market refers to the Counter-Strike Upper Bracket Quarterfinal 3 match between Aurora Gaming and Liquid in the IEM Beijing Group B, initially scheduled for November 2, 2026 at 2:00 AM ET. This market will resolve to "Aurora Gaming" if Aurora Gaming win the match against Liquid. This market will resolve to "Liquid" if Liquid win the match against Aurora Gaming. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or ends in a tie, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match is postponed, it must be rescheduled to a start time on or before November 16, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET (14 calendar days after the originally scheduled start of November 2, 2026 at 2:00 AM ET). If, by that deadline, the most recently announced rescheduled start time is on or before the deadline, this market resolves based on the result of the match as played. Otherwise, this market resolves 50-50, regardless of whether the match is subsequently played. If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins. If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://hltv.org. However, if https://hltv.org has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence. In cases where a team’s listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/cs2-aur1-tl1-2026-11-02
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