Analytics
Yes is at 6.7%, down 29 points from 36% when the market opened on 30 Jul 2026.
Across the 95 daily closes on record from 30 Jul 2026 to 5 Nov 2026 (4 days in that span have no close), the highest close was 44.5% on 28 Aug 2026 and the lowest 2.5% on 7 Oct 2026. A week before that last close Yes was at 8.8%; a month before, 5%. Its largest one-day move was 25 points up, to 44.5% on 28 Aug 2026.
$6.53K traded in the last 24 hours, out of $70.37K since listing. The order book holds $9.5K, with a 3.1% gap between the best bid and the best ask. Across the latest 500 trades, $1.66K bought Yes and $16.79K bought No; the largest was a $4.24K buy of No at 90.9¢.
The largest Yes position is 0xf27dc with 11.2K shares; the largest No position is Hyperlong with 5.1K. Ten wallets hold 82.9% of the shares on Polymarket's public holder list.
Trading closes on 1 Jan 2027, 57 days from now.
Polymarket prices as of Nov 5, 11:13 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 95 points, 30 Jul 2026 – 5 Nov 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 30 Jul 2026 | 36.0% |
| 5 Nov 2026 | 6.7% |
The ten largest positions on Polymarket's public holder list.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| 0xf27dc | Yes | 11.21K |
| Hyperlong | No | 5.07K |
| back-in-whack | No | 2.18K |
This market will resolve to “Yes” if crypto market structure legislation is enacted into U.S. federal law by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise this market will resolve to “No.” "Crypto market structure legislation" refers to any legislation that does all of the following: 1. Establishes a comprehensive regulatory framework for digital assets, cryptocurrencies, or virtual currencies (not solely for stablecoins); 2. Delineates regulatory authority between federal agencies (such as the SEC, CFTC, or others) for oversight of digital assets; 3. Creates definitions, classifications, or categories for when digital assets are considered securities, commodities, or other regulatory classifications. Examples of qualifying legislation include the "Digital Asset Market Clarity Act of 2025" (H.R.3633) and "The Financial Innovation and Technology for the 21st Century Act" (FIT21). The following would not qualify: - Bills that solely regulate stablecoins without addressing broader crypto market structure; - Bills that only ban or restrict specific crypto activities without creating a regulatory framework; - Bills that only address Central Bank Digital Currencies (CBDCs); - Appropriations bills that merely fund crypto-related activities; - Bills that only address crypto taxation without market structure provisions; - Executive orders, regulatory guidance, or agency rules; - The GENIUS Act or STABLE Act (stablecoin-only legislation); - The Anti-CBDC Surveillance State Act (CBDC-specific); Qualifying legislation may be enacted through passage by the United States House of Representatives and Senate and subsequent signature by the United States President, or through other formal means which constitute enactment into United States Federal law (e.g., veto override). The resolution sources for this market will be official information from the United States Congress and the United States President and a consensus of credible reporting.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/crypto-market-structure-legislation-becomes-law-in-2026-20260727223933088
| geowatch |
| No |
| 2.15K |
| maritime6307 | No | 1.96K |
| 53534 | No | 1.12K |
| Sergio2219 | Yes | 697.11 |
| balthazar | Yes | 590.5 |
| fledger | Yes | 523.82 |
| tradetosurvive1 | No | 437.84 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
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