What is the “Conservatives win majority in Ontario election?” market asking?
It asks whether the following will happen: Conservatives win majority in Ontario election? Traders buy Yes shares if they think it will and No shares if they think it will not.
What do the Yes and No prices mean?
At the last observation Yes traded at 100.0¢ and No at 0.0¢. A Yes share pays $1 if the market resolves Yes, so its price is the market's implied probability: 100.0% for Yes and 0.0% for No. The two prices add up to about one dollar.
When does this market close?
Trading is scheduled to close on Feb 27, 2025. After the close no new trades are accepted and the outcome is settled by the resolution source.
How does this market resolve?
The 2025 Ontario parliamentary elections are scheduled to take place on February 27, 2025 to elect the 44th Parliament of Ontario. This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Progressive Conservative Party of Ontario wins a majority of seats (63 or more) in the Legislative Assembly of Ontario as a result of the next Ontario parliamentary election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If the results of this election aren't known by December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve 50-50. This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by this party, not…
What is the difference between volume, liquidity and open interest?
24h volume ($39.03K) is the dollar value of shares traded in the last 24 hours. Volume measures activity, liquidity measures how easily you can trade, and open interest measures how much is at stake.
$21.22K
Yes sell at 99.7%
History rangePolymarket CLOB price history · 1440 min sampling · latest observation Mar 1, 12:00 AM
Vultax loaded 5 public holder wallets for this market; the largest ten hold 100.0% of the loaded shares. The Holders view lists them by size on each side, and every wallet links to its trader profile.
Where does this data come from and how fresh is it?
Prices, the order book, holders and the trade tape come from Polymarket's public order book and data API. Vultax records each observation with its own timestamp (market facts last updated Mar 2, 4:31 AM) and shows a value as unavailable rather than as zero when a source has not answered.
Can I trade this market on Vultax?
No. Vultax is a research and paper-trading terminal; it does not execute orders. The trade controls open the official market on Polymarket (https://polymarket.com/event/conservatives-win-majority-in-ontario-election) or the Vultax predictions monitor, where you can track the market and paper trade it.
