Analytics
Yes is at 56.5%, up 9 points from 47.5% when the market opened on 4 Aug 2026.
Across the 80 daily closes on record from 4 Aug 2026 to 24 Oct 2026 (3 days in that span have no close), the highest close was 68% on 12 Aug 2026 and the lowest 45% on 22 Aug 2026. A week before that last close Yes was at 50.5%; a month before, 62.5%. Its largest one-day move was 13 points up, to 59.5% on 11 Aug 2026.
Once Caldas is the favourite of the 3 outcomes in “Once Caldas vs. Alianza FC”, ahead of Alianza FC at 23.5%.
$369.04 traded in the last 24 hours. The order book holds $219.03, with a 13.0% gap between the best bid and the best ask.
The largest Yes position is SilentShark with 79 shares; the largest No position is Indigo Signal 2966 with 95.
Trading closes on 28 Oct 2026, 5 days from now.
Polymarket prices as of Oct 24, 12:30 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 80 points, 4 Aug 2026 – 24 Oct 2026, chart shows 40%–80%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 4 Aug 2026 | 47.5% |
| 24 Oct 2026 | 56.5% |
The ten largest positions on Polymarket's public holder list.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 94.95 |
| SilentShark | Yes | 79.34 |
| Honored-Elver | Yes | 14.23 |
In the upcoming game, scheduled for August 16, 2026 If Once Caldas wins, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve "No". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/col1-onc-alf-2026-08-16
| KOGamble6273 | Yes | 5 |
| ameisgoat11 | No | 5 |
| BC.GAME | Yes | 1.42 |
| e46m3 | No | 0.03 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
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