Analytics
Yes is at 31.5%, down 15 points from 46.5% when the market opened on 4 Aug 2026.
The high was 49% on 7 Aug 2026 and the low 13% on 16 Aug 2026. A week ago Yes was at 32%; a month ago, 27%. Its largest one-day move was 31 points down, to 16% on 11 Aug 2026.
It is one of 3 markets under “Once Caldas vs. Alianza FC”.
$217.05 traded in the last 24 hours. The order book holds $1.02K, with a 13.0% gap between the best bid and the best ask.
The largest Yes position is SilentShark with 69 shares; the largest No position is Indigo Signal 2966 with 90.
Trading closes on 28 Oct 2026, 20 days from now.
Polymarket prices as of Oct 9, 10:05 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB · 68 points · 4 Aug 2026 – 9 Oct 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 4 Aug 2026 | 46.5% |
| 9 Oct 2026 | 31.5% |
The ten largest positions on Polymarket's public holder list.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 89.95 |
| SilentShark | Yes | 68.86 |
| Insidious-Cake | Yes | 52.06 |
In the upcoming game, scheduled for August 16, 2026 If Alianza FC wins, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve "No". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/col1-onc-alf-2026-08-16
| Dreamwire | No | 20.01 |
| poshposh | Yes | 15.65 |
| Cypya | No | 12.06 |
| topdogbigboi | No | 10 |
| RadioFreeZerg | No | 4.55 |
| banzhuan.ai | No | 1.14 |
| KOGamble6273 | Yes | 1.13 |
Every wallet's public record, and 80,000 ranked by lifetime P&L: Polymarket leaderboard
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