Analytics
Yes is at 15.5%, down 31 points from 47% when the market opened on 4 Aug 2026.
Across the 78 daily closes on record from 4 Aug 2026 to 28 Oct 2026 (9 days in that span have no close), the highest close was 49% on 19 Aug 2026 and the lowest 11.5% on 16 Aug 2026. A week before that last close Yes was at 25.5%; a month before, 22%. Its largest one-day move was 37 points up, to 48.5% on 17 Aug 2026.
Independiente Santa Fe ranks third of the 3 outcomes in “Atlético Nacional vs. Independiente Santa Fe”. Atlético Nacional leads at 61.5%; Draw (Atlético Nacional vs. Independiente Santa Fe) is at 22.5%.
$6.25 traded in the last 24 hours, out of $328.01 since listing. The order book holds $4.89K, with a 1.0% gap between the best bid and the best ask. Across the latest 24 trades, $23.65 bought Yes and $128.36 bought No.
The largest Yes position is nigiri99 with 118 shares; the largest No position is VeryLucky888 with 59. Ten wallets hold 73.4% of the shares on Polymarket's public holder list.
Trading closes on 30 Oct 2026, 2 days from now.
Polymarket prices as of Oct 28, 2:08 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 78 points, 4 Aug 2026 – 28 Oct 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 4 Aug 2026 | 47.0% |
| 28 Oct 2026 | 15.5% |
The ten largest positions on Polymarket's public holder list.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| nigiri99 | Yes | 118 |
| VeryLucky888 | No | 59 |
| RadioFreeZerg | Yes | 35.91 |
In the upcoming game, scheduled for August 15, 2026 If Independiente Santa Fe wins, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve "No". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/col1-atn-isf-2026-08-15
| Indigo Signal 2966 |
| No |
| 29.4 |
| sherri92 | No | 17.66 |
| davidobrien-313 | No | 17.48 |
| thompsonjason | No | 17.31 |
| yduaidoeoamfrnmjetenurnfujksd | Yes | 16.4 |
| Undisputa | Yes | 15.4 |
| tinabell | No | 15.4 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
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