Analytics
Yes is at 61.5%, up 15 points from 47% when the market opened on 4 Aug 2026.
Across the 82 daily closes on record from 4 Aug 2026 to 28 Oct 2026 (5 days in that span have no close), the highest close was 65.5% on 12 Aug 2026 and the lowest 37% on 16 Aug 2026. A week before that last close Yes was at 51%; a month before, 37%. Its largest one-day move was 25 points down, to 37% on 16 Aug 2026.
Atlético Nacional is the favourite of the 3 outcomes in “Atlético Nacional vs. Independiente Santa Fe”, ahead of Draw (Atlético Nacional vs. Independiente Santa Fe) at 22.5%.
$451.84 traded in the last 24 hours. The order book holds $4.63K, with a 1.0% gap between the best bid and the best ask. Across the latest 27 trades, $118.96 bought Yes and $55.07 bought No.
The largest Yes position is lukibazdonauki754 with 180 shares; the largest No position is WatchTheTape with 180.
Trading closes on 30 Oct 2026, 2 days from now.
Polymarket prices as of Oct 28, 2:38 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 82 points, 4 Aug 2026 – 28 Oct 2026, chart shows 30%–80%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 4 Aug 2026 | 47.0% |
| 28 Oct 2026 | 61.5% |
The ten largest positions on Polymarket's public holder list.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| lukibazdonauki754 | Yes | 180 |
| WatchTheTape | No | 180 |
| HxHxHxHxHxHxHxHxHxH | Yes | 100 |
In the upcoming game, scheduled for August 15, 2026 If Atlético Nacional wins, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve "No". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/col1-atn-isf-2026-08-15
| Flaznorp | No | 95 |
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 29.4 |
| SilentShark | Yes | 21.66 |
| nigiri99 | Yes | 15 |
| ameisgoat11 | No | 15 |
| suntori | Yes | 11.36 |
| Undisputa | No | 11.36 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
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