Analytics
Yes is at 55%, down 8.5 points from 63.5% when the market opened on 19 Sep 2026.
Across the 34 daily closes on record from 19 Sep 2026 to 25 Oct 2026 (4 days in that span have no close), the highest close was 67% on 20 Sep 2026 and the lowest 39% on 23 Sep 2026. A week before that last close Yes was at 56%; a month before, 48.5%. Its largest one-day move was 25 points down, to 41.5% on 22 Sep 2026.
Choosin' Texas (Ella Langley) is the favourite of the 5 outcomes in “CMA Music Video of the Year 2026”, ahead of Gary (Stephen Wilson Jr.) at 27%.
$7.6K traded in the last 24 hours. The order book holds $434.18, with a 12.0% gap between the best bid and the best ask. Across the latest 153 trades, $1.06K bought Yes and $912.79 bought No.
The largest Yes position is crckr with 608 shares; the largest No position is SnapElectionAvoider with 1.7K. Ten wallets hold 88.8% of the shares on Polymarket's public holder list.
Trading closes on 19 Nov 2026, 25 days from now.
Polymarket prices as of Oct 25, 3:44 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 34 points, 19 Sep 2026 – 25 Oct 2026, chart shows 30%–80%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 19 Sep 2026 | 63.5% |
| 25 Oct 2026 | 55.0% |
The ten largest positions on Polymarket's public holder list.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| SnapElectionAvoider | No | 1.73K |
| crckr | Yes | 607.78 |
| tradetosurvive1 | Yes | 355 |
The Country Music Association Awards are presented annually by the Country Music Association (CMA) to honor outstanding achievement in country music. The 60th Annual Country Music Association Awards are currently scheduled for November 18, 2026. This market will resolve according to the listed music video that wins the 60th Annual Country Music Association Award for Music Video of the Year. If a listed music video is not officially nominated for the Country Music Association Award for Music Video of the Year when the 2026 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No". In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the tied winning music video whose listed title comes first in alphabetical order. If, for any reason, no winner is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the CMA Awards and the Country Music Association, including data from their website (e.g., https://cmaawards.com/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/cma-music-video-of-the-year-2026
| thursdays |
| Yes |
| 299.99 |
| DuneMentat | Yes | 165.99 |
| oneoftheppl | Yes | 161 |
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 135.27 |
| Anjun | No | 131.85 |
| aliiz | Yes | 119.26 |
| shiifoo | Yes | 55 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
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