Analytics
Yes is at 77.5%, up 8 points from 69.5% when the market opened on 19 Sep 2026.
The high was 85% on 27 Sep 2026 and the low 69.5% on 19 Sep 2026. A week ago Yes was at 81.5%. Its largest one-day move was 9 points up, to 79.5% on 26 Sep 2026.
Choosin' Texas (Ella Langley) is the favourite of the 5 outcomes in “CMA Single of the Year 2026”, ahead of Somewhere Over Laredo (Lainey Wilson) at 19.5%.
$14.31 traded in the last 24 hours, out of $1.92K since listing. The order book holds $1.8K, with a 1.0% gap between the best bid and the best ask. Across the latest 33 trades, $1.02K bought Yes and $41.65 bought No.
The largest Yes position is jimmer-fredette with 1K shares; the largest No position is KiernanMeister with 897.
Trading closes on 19 Nov 2026, 40 days from now.
Polymarket prices as of Oct 10, 7:56 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB · 23 points · 19 Sep 2026 – 10 Oct 2026 · axis zoomed to 65%–90%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 19 Sep 2026 | 69.5% |
| 10 Oct 2026 | 77.5% |
The ten largest positions on Polymarket's public holder list.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| jimmer-fredette | Yes | 1K |
| KiernanMeister | No | 896.77 |
| Gaditima | Yes | 308.18 |
The Country Music Association Awards are presented annually by the Country Music Association (CMA) to honor outstanding achievement in country music. The 60th Annual Country Music Association Awards are currently scheduled for November 18, 2026. This market will resolve according to the listed single that wins the 60th Annual Country Music Association Award for Single of the Year. If a listed single is not officially nominated for the Country Music Association Award for Single of the Year when the 2026 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No". In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the tied winning single whose listed title comes first in alphabetical order. If, for any reason, no winner is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the CMA Awards and the Country Music Association, including data from their website (e.g., https://cmaawards.com/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/cma-single-of-the-year-2026
| AiBird |
| No |
| 200 |
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 148 |
| cigarettes | No | 81 |
| NotJump | No | 32.32 |
| youtube-trader | Yes | 21.97 |
| frontiertrade | No | 20.57 |
| zhyfacai | Yes | 20 |
Every wallet's public record, and 80,000 ranked by lifetime P&L: Polymarket leaderboard
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