Cloudflare outage caused by state actor?

Resolved

No, settled Nov 22, 2025 UTC

Yes

0.0%

100.0%

Final Yes 0¢Final No 100¢

Lifetime volume

$122.6K

Resolved

Settled

Nov 22, 2025 UTC

Where it stands

Resolved No on 22 Nov 2025.

The last daily price before settlement had No at 99.9%. Yes opened at 1.4% on 19 Nov 2025. Before it settled, across the 4 daily closes on record from 19 Nov 2025 to 22 Nov 2025, the highest close was 1.4% on 19 Nov 2025 and the lowest 0.1% on 21 Nov 2025. $122.6K traded over the market's life.

29 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.

Polymarket record as of Nov 23, 8:30 AM UTC

Price historyPrice history from Polymarket's order book

Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 4 points, 19 Nov 2025 – 22 Nov 2025, chart shows 0%–10%

Yes price, first and latest
Observed	Yes price
19 Nov 2025	1.4%
22 Nov 2025	0.1%

Holders left after settlement

Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.

Trader	Outcome	Shares
Essential-Freight	Yes	25.95K
Original-Clock	Yes	1.5K
Bright Horizon 81D6	Yes	1.02K
jeegles	Yes	1K

10 of 29 listed holders. Polymarket publishes up to 500 per outcome; the Holders tab has them all.

Read the record behind the trader

Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.

Rules

How this market was settled

On November 18, massive internet service outages were reported by Cloudflare affecting a wide variety of popular services, including X, ChatGPT, and others. You can read more about that here: https://www.independent.co.uk/tech/cloudflare-down-twitter-not-working-outage-b2867367.html This market will resolve to “Yes” if it is discovered that the mentioned November 18, 2025 outages were caused by a hack, and that that hack was perpetrated by a state actor, by November 21, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise this market will resolve to “No”. "A hack" encompasses intentional, malicious activity which caused the outage. A "state actor" is defined as an entity whose actions are legally or politically attributable to a sovereign state. The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from relevant companies and governments, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.