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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2025?Yes | buy | 32.26 | $0.031 | $1 | Dec 1, 2025 |
 |
| buy |
| 9.09 |
| $0.110 |
| $1 |
| Dec 1, 2025 |
 Will Benjamin Netanyahu be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025?Yes | buy | 43.48 | $0.023 | $1 | Dec 1, 2025 |
 Will Chelsea vs. Arsenal end in a draw?Yes | buy | 3.23 | $0.310 | $1 | Nov 30, 2025 |
| Will Benjamin Netanyahu be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025?Yes | buy | 28.57 | $0.035 | $1 | Nov 27, 2025 |
 Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of November 2025?Yes | sell | 101.45 | $0.001 | $0.1 | Nov 27, 2025 |
 Will FC Red Bull Salzburg win on 2025-11-27?Yes | sell | 9.09 | $0.100 | $0.91 | Nov 27, 2025 |
| Will FC Red Bull Salzburg win on 2025-11-27?Yes | buy | 9.09 | $0.110 | $1 | Nov 27, 2025 |
 Will Jeannette Jara win the Chilean presidential election?Yes | sell | 24.39 | $0.043 | $1.05 | Nov 27, 2025 |
 Will Tottenham Hotspur FC win on 2025-11-26?Yes | buy | 12.25 | $0.120 | $1.47 | Nov 26, 2025 |
 Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Saudi Arabia?Yes | sell | 333.33 | $0.002 | $0.67 | Nov 26, 2025 |
 Will Google reach $335 in November?Yes | sell | 4.92 | $0.161 | $0.79 | Nov 26, 2025 |
| Will Jensen Huang be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025?Yes | buy | 4.17 | $0.240 | $1 | Nov 26, 2025 |
 US x Venezuela military engagement by November 30?Yes | sell | 8.33 | $0.060 | $0.5 | Nov 26, 2025 |
| Will Google reach $335 in November?Yes | buy | 4.93 | $0.203 | $1 | Nov 26, 2025 |
 Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?Yes | sell | 5.81 | $0.257 | $1.49 | Nov 26, 2025 |
| Will Donald Trump be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025?Yes | buy | 14.29 | $0.070 | $1 | Nov 26, 2025 |
 Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in November?Yes | sell | 10.1 | $0.008 | $0.08 | Nov 26, 2025 |
| Will André Ventura win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?Yes | sell | 10.3 | $0.090 | $0.93 | Nov 26, 2025 |
| Will Páfos FC win on 2025-11-26?Yes | buy | 6.25 | $0.160 | $1 | Nov 26, 2025 |
 Will Trump talk to Emmanuel Macron in November?Yes | sell | 1.86 | $0.150 | $0.28 | Nov 26, 2025 |
 Will Anthropic have the top AI model on December 31?Yes | sell | 15.29 | $0.045 | $0.69 | Nov 26, 2025 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $88,000 on November 25?No | buy | 1.43 | $0.700 | $1 | Nov 25, 2025 |
| US x Venezuela military engagement by November 30?Yes | buy | 8.33 | $0.120 | $1 | Nov 25, 2025 |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2025?Yes | sell | 33.33 | $0.040 | $1.33 | Nov 25, 2025 |
| Will Anthropic have the top AI model on December 31?Yes | buy | 15.3 | $0.065 | $1 | Nov 25, 2025 |
 Will Google Gemini 3 score at least 45% on Humanity’s Last Exam by January 31?Yes | sell | 11.11 | $0.070 | $0.78 | Nov 25, 2025 |
 Will Hollow Knight: Silksong win Game of the Year at the 2025 Game Awards?Yes | sell | 27.02 | $0.032 | $0.86 | Nov 25, 2025 |
| Will Club Brugge KV win on 2025-11-26?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.200 | $1 | Nov 24, 2025 |
| Will Jeannette Jara win the Chilean presidential election?Yes | buy | 24.39 | $0.041 | $1 | Nov 24, 2025 |
| Will Anthropic have the top AI model at the end of November 2025?Yes | sell | 41.66 | $0.021 | $0.89 | Nov 24, 2025 |
 Will Amazon be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?Yes | sell | 500 | $0.001 | $0.5 | Nov 24, 2025 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $92,000 on November 24?Yes | buy | 34.48 | $0.029 | $1 | Nov 23, 2025 |
| Will Benjamin Netanyahu be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025?Yes | sell | 27.77 | $0.038 | $1.06 | Nov 23, 2025 |
| Will Trump talk to Emmanuel Macron in November?Yes | buy | 1.86 | $0.537 | $1 | Nov 23, 2025 |
| Will Artificial Intelligence be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025?No | sell | 1.61 | $0.690 | $1.11 | Nov 23, 2025 |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2025?Yes | buy | 16.67 | $0.060 | $1 | Nov 23, 2025 |
| Will Google Gemini 3 score at least 45% on Humanity’s Last Exam by January 31?Yes | buy | 11.11 | $0.090 | $1 | Nov 23, 2025 |
| Will Anthropic have the top AI model at the end of November 2025?Yes | buy | 41.67 | $0.024 | $1 | Nov 23, 2025 |
| Will Jensen Huang be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025?Yes | sell | 5.88 | $0.250 | $1.47 | Nov 23, 2025 |
| Will Jeannette Jara win the Chilean presidential election?Yes | sell | 42.88 | $0.042 | $1.8 | Nov 23, 2025 |
| Will Benjamin Netanyahu be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025?Yes | buy | 27.78 | $0.036 | $1 | Nov 22, 2025 |
 Will the Fed decide differently in the next three decisions (Oct–Dec–Jan)?Yes | sell | 25 | $0.017 | $0.43 | Nov 22, 2025 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $90,000 on November 22?Yes | buy | 83.33 | $0.012 | $1 | Nov 22, 2025 |
 Will Microsoft (MSFT) close above $465 end of November?No | sell | 4.54 | $0.300 | $1.36 | Nov 22, 2025 |
| Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?Yes | buy | 5.81 | $0.172 | $1 | Nov 22, 2025 |
 Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after December 2025 meeting?Yes | sell | 333.33 | $0.004 | $1.33 | Nov 22, 2025 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on November 22?Yes | buy | 7.35 | $0.136 | $1 | Nov 22, 2025 |
 Will NVIDIA (NVDA) close above $150 end of November?No | sell | 20 | $0.020 | $0.4 | Nov 22, 2025 |
 Will Pope Leo visit Peru first?Yes | sell | 500 | $0.001 | $0.5 | Nov 22, 2025 |